http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_model.html

That's not looking good. The models are starting to agree though.

Quote:

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Hispaniola...eastern Cuba...and Jamaica...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 20 inches possible. These rains will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.

Gee but these things bring a lot of water with them. It will be interesting to see if the category is upgraded

It will be ok, we'll send in FEMA again

We got 2.5" in a half hour from FAY (the one from last week) as it passed back over us again yesterday. These things are monsoon-like.

Not looking so good.

I saw this on CNN earlier. Talk about deja vu. The good news is, (if there can be such a thing, but compared to '05...) they are supposedly more prepared this time around. Millions have been spent to rebuild and shore up the levees.

Perhaps the best thing is that the neighborhoods which were devastated last time were never really rebuilt anyway.

The Governor of Louisiana has declared a State of Emergency and mobilized the National Guard.

Remember, cover the Gulf with plastic wrap to help decrease the amount of water that evaporates and then the storm will weaken before getting there

Gustav becomes Category 3 hurricane off Cuba

Saturday August 30, 2008


MIAMI (Reuters) - Hurricane Gustav strengthened into a major Category 3 storm on Saturday as it moved over warm Caribbean waters toward western Cuba, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.

Just before 6 a.m., the storm had maximum sustained winds near 115 mph (185 kph), making it a Category 3 storm on the five-stage Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity.

Any storm packing winds of at least 111 mph (178 kph) is ranked "major" by the Miami-based hurricane center.

The storm, which killed up to 77 people in the Caribbean, is still on track to strike the heavy concentration of U.S. oil and natural gas platforms off Louisiana. The most likely track has it going ashore west of New Orleans on Tuesday.

While long-range storm forecasts are prone to errors, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said late Friday that Gustav could become a Category 4 storm within 48 hours.


More at: Reuters

It could miss New Orleans if this High pressure comes south faster. Just look how it's going to "push" the storms. That's what's going to keep Hanna at bay for a few days, but if Hanna doesn't die... it may come back strong.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9lh.gif